New Zealand heads for election cliffhanger with minor party cast as kingmaker

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Polls show neither major party will have enough seats to form government, meaning the fate could fall on centrist minor party, Opportunity

The final polls ahead of New Zealand’s election show a knife-edge path to power, with neither the ruling right-wing coalition or opposition left bloc able to form a government without the support of a newcomer centrist party.

New Zealanders will vote on 7 November, concluding a six-week campaign defined by the high costs of living, a wobbling healthcare system, political tit-for-tats over gangs, personal attacks, and complex vote-splitting strategies.

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New Zealand, New Zealand politics, Christopher Luxon, Chris Hipkins, New Zealand election 2026